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📊 Model insight
41.4% Watford28.3% Draw30.3% Stoke City
Expected goals1.35–1.14
Likely score1-1
Both to score50.4%
Our model gives Watford a 41.4% chance, with a 28.3% chance of a draw and 30.3% for Stoke City. Expected goals favour a 1.35–1.14 shape, with a most-likely scoreline of 1-1. Make your own call in the app and see how you stack up against the model and other predictors.