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📊 Model insight
44.5% Tigre30.1% Draw25.4% Nacional
Expected goals1.7–0.77
Likely score1-0
Both to score47.2%
Our model gives Tigre a 44.5% chance, with a 30.1% chance of a draw and 25.4% for Nacional. Expected goals favour a 1.7–0.77 shape, with a most-likely scoreline of 1-0. Make your own call in the app and see how you stack up against the model and other predictors.