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📊 Model insight
47.6% Sweden23.5% Draw28.9% Poland
Expected goals1.77–1.38
Likely score1-1
Both to score59.2%
Our model gives Sweden a 47.6% chance, with a 23.5% chance of a draw and 28.9% for Poland. Expected goals favour a 1.77–1.38 shape, with a most-likely scoreline of 1-1. Make your own call in the app and see how you stack up against the model and other predictors.