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📊 Model insight
38.9% Spain26% Draw35.1% Belgium
Expected goals1.16–1.15
Likely score1-1
Both to score52%
Our model gives Spain a 38.9% chance, with a 26% chance of a draw and 35.1% for Belgium. Expected goals favour a 1.16–1.15 shape, with a most-likely scoreline of 1-1. Make your own call in the app and see how you stack up against the model and other predictors.