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📊 Model insight
58.9% Portugal23% Draw18.1% Wales
Expected goals1.82–0.98
Likely score1-1
Both to score52%
Our model gives Portugal a 58.9% chance, with a 23% chance of a draw and 18.1% for Wales. Expected goals favour a 1.82–0.98 shape, with a most-likely scoreline of 1-1. Make your own call in the app and see how you stack up against the model and other predictors.