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📊 Model insight
50.5% Portugal25.9% Draw23.6% Croatia
Expected goals0.99–0.58
Likely score0-0
Both to score32.4%
Our model gives Portugal a 50.5% chance, with a 25.9% chance of a draw and 23.6% for Croatia. Expected goals favour a 0.99–0.58 shape, with a most-likely scoreline of 0-0. Make your own call in the app and see how you stack up against the model and other predictors.