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📊 Model insight
37.2% Portsmouth27.8% Draw35.1% Derby County
Expected goals1.32–1.27
Likely score1-1
Both to score52.1%
Our model gives Portsmouth a 37.2% chance, with a 27.8% chance of a draw and 35.1% for Derby County. Expected goals favour a 1.32–1.27 shape, with a most-likely scoreline of 1-1. Make your own call in the app and see how you stack up against the model and other predictors.