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📊 Estimated odds
52% Newcastle United28% Draw20% Manchester City
Expected goals2.29–0.71
Likely score2-1
Both to score60%
Our baseline estimate gives Newcastle United a 52% chance, with a 28% chance of a draw and 20% for Manchester City. Expected goals favour a 2.29–0.71 shape, with a most-likely scoreline of 2-1. Make your own call in the app and see how you stack up against the model and other predictors.