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📊 Estimated odds
55% Mexico30% Draw15% Ecuador
Expected goals1.07–2.15
Likely score1-2
Both to score48%
Our baseline estimate gives Mexico a 55% chance, with a 30% chance of a draw and 15% for Ecuador. Expected goals favour a 1.07–2.15 shape, with a most-likely scoreline of 1-2. Make your own call in the app and see how you stack up against the model and other predictors.