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📊 Estimated odds
52% Manchester United31% Draw17% Manchester City
Expected goals2.6–0.97
Likely score3-1
Both to score67%
Our baseline estimate gives Manchester United a 52% chance, with a 31% chance of a draw and 17% for Manchester City. Expected goals favour a 2.6–0.97 shape, with a most-likely scoreline of 3-1. Make your own call in the app and see how you stack up against the model and other predictors.