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📊 Model insight
29.8% Manchester United24.7% Draw45.5% Manchester City
Expected goals1.33–1.63
Likely score1-1
Both to score57%
Our model gives Manchester United a 29.8% chance, with a 24.7% chance of a draw and 45.5% for Manchester City. Expected goals favour a 1.33–1.63 shape, with a most-likely scoreline of 1-1. Make your own call in the app and see how you stack up against the model and other predictors.