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📊 Estimated odds
44% Manchester United27% Draw29% Aston Villa
Expected goals2.41–1.64
Likely score2-2
Both to score38%
Our baseline estimate gives Manchester United a 44% chance, with a 27% chance of a draw and 29% for Aston Villa. Expected goals favour a 2.41–1.64 shape, with a most-likely scoreline of 2-2. Make your own call in the app and see how you stack up against the model and other predictors.