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📊 Estimated odds
52% Manchester City30% Draw18% Sunderland
Expected goals2.19–0.77
Likely score2-1
Both to score58%
Our baseline estimate gives Manchester City a 52% chance, with a 30% chance of a draw and 18% for Sunderland. Expected goals favour a 2.19–0.77 shape, with a most-likely scoreline of 2-1. Make your own call in the app and see how you stack up against the model and other predictors.