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📊 Estimated odds
41% Manchester City22% Draw37% Aston Villa
Expected goals1.26–1.04
Likely score1-1
Both to score54%
Our baseline estimate gives Manchester City a 41% chance, with a 22% chance of a draw and 37% for Aston Villa. Expected goals favour a 1.26–1.04 shape, with a most-likely scoreline of 1-1. Make your own call in the app and see how you stack up against the model and other predictors.