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📊 Estimated odds
53% Manchester City24% Draw23% Arsenal
Expected goals1.13–0.99
Likely score1-1
Both to score48%
Our baseline estimate gives Manchester City a 53% chance, with a 24% chance of a draw and 23% for Arsenal. Expected goals favour a 1.13–0.99 shape, with a most-likely scoreline of 1-1. Make your own call in the app and see how you stack up against the model and other predictors.