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📊 Model insight
46% Luxembourg27.8% Draw26.2% Iceland
Expected goals1.43–1.05
Likely score1-1
Both to score49.7%
Our model gives Luxembourg a 46% chance, with a 27.8% chance of a draw and 26.2% for Iceland. Expected goals favour a 1.43–1.05 shape, with a most-likely scoreline of 1-1. Make your own call in the app and see how you stack up against the model and other predictors.