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📊 Estimated odds
49% Liverpool30% Draw21% Manchester City
Expected goals2.49–0.9
Likely score2-1
Both to score39%
Our baseline estimate gives Liverpool a 49% chance, with a 30% chance of a draw and 21% for Manchester City. Expected goals favour a 2.49–0.9 shape, with a most-likely scoreline of 2-1. Make your own call in the app and see how you stack up against the model and other predictors.