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📊 Model insight
38.4% Lithuania29.8% Draw31.8% Azerbaijan
Expected goals1.57–1.01
Likely score1-1
Both to score50.4%
Our model gives Lithuania a 38.4% chance, with a 29.8% chance of a draw and 31.8% for Azerbaijan. Expected goals favour a 1.57–1.01 shape, with a most-likely scoreline of 1-1. Make your own call in the app and see how you stack up against the model and other predictors.