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📊 Model insight
35.5% Italy25.1% Draw39.4% Belgium
Expected goals1.46–1.52
Likely score1-1
Both to score57.5%
Our model gives Italy a 35.5% chance, with a 25.1% chance of a draw and 39.4% for Belgium. Expected goals favour a 1.46–1.52 shape, with a most-likely scoreline of 1-1. Make your own call in the app and see how you stack up against the model and other predictors.