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📊 Model insight
48.7% Iceland24.4% Draw26.9% Estonia
Expected goals1.7–1.25
Likely score1-1
Both to score56.4%
Our model gives Iceland a 48.7% chance, with a 24.4% chance of a draw and 26.9% for Estonia. Expected goals favour a 1.7–1.25 shape, with a most-likely scoreline of 1-1. Make your own call in the app and see how you stack up against the model and other predictors.