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📊 Model insight
49.4% Excelsior23.8% Draw26.8% Sparta Rotterdam
Expected goals1.75–1.28
Likely score1-1
Both to score57.4%
Our model gives Excelsior a 49.4% chance, with a 23.8% chance of a draw and 26.8% for Sparta Rotterdam. Expected goals favour a 1.75–1.28 shape, with a most-likely scoreline of 1-1. Make your own call in the app and see how you stack up against the model and other predictors.