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📊 Estimated odds
40% Everton21% Draw39% Manchester City
Expected goals2.52–0.89
Likely score3-1
Both to score51%
Our baseline estimate gives Everton a 40% chance, with a 21% chance of a draw and 39% for Manchester City. Expected goals favour a 2.52–0.89 shape, with a most-likely scoreline of 3-1. Make your own call in the app and see how you stack up against the model and other predictors.