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📊 Model insight
35.4% England28.2% Draw36.5% Spain
Expected goals1.3–1.29
Likely score1-1
Both to score55.4%
Our model gives England a 35.4% chance, with a 28.2% chance of a draw and 36.5% for Spain. Expected goals favour a 1.3–1.29 shape, with a most-likely scoreline of 1-1. Make your own call in the app and see how you stack up against the model and other predictors.