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📊 Model insight
55.8% England25.5% Draw18.7% DR Congo
Expected goals1.38–0.69
Likely score1-0
Both to score22.4%
Our model gives England a 55.8% chance, with a 25.5% chance of a draw and 18.7% for DR Congo. Expected goals favour a 1.38–0.69 shape, with a most-likely scoreline of 1-0. Make your own call in the app and see how you stack up against the model and other predictors.