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📊 Model insight
47.3% Derby County26.9% Draw25.7% Swansea City
Expected goals1.5–1.08
Likely score1-1
Both to score51%
Our model gives Derby County a 47.3% chance, with a 26.9% chance of a draw and 25.7% for Swansea City. Expected goals favour a 1.5–1.08 shape, with a most-likely scoreline of 1-1. Make your own call in the app and see how you stack up against the model and other predictors.