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📊 Model insight
32.5% Derby County24% Draw43.5% Lincoln City
Expected goals1.52–1.75
Likely score1-1
Both to score61.1%
Our model gives Derby County a 32.5% chance, with a 24% chance of a draw and 43.5% for Lincoln City. Expected goals favour a 1.52–1.75 shape, with a most-likely scoreline of 1-1. Make your own call in the app and see how you stack up against the model and other predictors.