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📊 Model insight
40.8% Derby County26.7% Draw32.5% Cardiff City
Expected goals1.44–1.27
Likely score1-1
Both to score53.8%
Our model gives Derby County a 40.8% chance, with a 26.7% chance of a draw and 32.5% for Cardiff City. Expected goals favour a 1.44–1.27 shape, with a most-likely scoreline of 1-1. Make your own call in the app and see how you stack up against the model and other predictors.