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📊 Model insight
37.5% Derby County28.2% Draw34.3% Birmingham City
Expected goals1.3–1.23
Likely score1-1
Both to score51.3%
Our model gives Derby County a 37.5% chance, with a 28.2% chance of a draw and 34.3% for Birmingham City. Expected goals favour a 1.3–1.23 shape, with a most-likely scoreline of 1-1. Make your own call in the app and see how you stack up against the model and other predictors.