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📊 Estimated odds
49% Chelsea29% Draw22% Aston Villa
Expected goals1.71–1.21
Likely score2-1
Both to score49%
Our baseline estimate gives Chelsea a 49% chance, with a 29% chance of a draw and 22% for Aston Villa. Expected goals favour a 1.71–1.21 shape, with a most-likely scoreline of 2-1. Make your own call in the app and see how you stack up against the model and other predictors.