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📊 Model insight
32.8% Bulgaria29.8% Draw37.4% Luxembourg
Expected goals1.13–1.2
Likely score1-1
Both to score48.3%
Our model gives Bulgaria a 32.8% chance, with a 29.8% chance of a draw and 37.4% for Luxembourg. Expected goals favour a 1.13–1.2 shape, with a most-likely scoreline of 1-1. Make your own call in the app and see how you stack up against the model and other predictors.