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📊 Model insight
45.1% Boca Juniors31.7% Draw23.2% Vélez Sarsfield
Expected goals1.22–0.84
Likely score1-0
Both to score44.3%
Our model gives Boca Juniors a 45.1% chance, with a 31.7% chance of a draw and 23.2% for Vélez Sarsfield. Expected goals favour a 1.22–0.84 shape, with a most-likely scoreline of 1-0. Make your own call in the app and see how you stack up against the model and other predictors.