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📊 Model insight
42% Basel23.6% Draw34.4% FC Lugano
Expected goals1.7–1.53
Likely score1-1
Both to score60.6%
Our model gives Basel a 42% chance, with a 23.6% chance of a draw and 34.4% for FC Lugano. Expected goals favour a 1.7–1.53 shape, with a most-likely scoreline of 1-1. Make your own call in the app and see how you stack up against the model and other predictors.