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📊 Estimated odds
42% Arsenal20% Draw38% Manchester City
Expected goals1.38–2.05
Likely score1-2
Both to score74%
Our baseline estimate gives Arsenal a 42% chance, with a 20% chance of a draw and 38% for Manchester City. Expected goals favour a 1.38–2.05 shape, with a most-likely scoreline of 1-2. Make your own call in the app and see how you stack up against the model and other predictors.