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📊 Model insight
57.4% Arsenal23.7% Draw18.9% Chelsea
Expected goals1.76–0.99
Likely score1-1
Both to score51.6%
Our model gives Arsenal a 57.4% chance, with a 23.7% chance of a draw and 18.9% for Chelsea. Expected goals favour a 1.76–0.99 shape, with a most-likely scoreline of 1-1. Make your own call in the app and see how you stack up against the model and other predictors.