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📊 Model insight
62.4% AFC Ajax19.3% Draw18.3% Excelsior
Expected goals2.22–1.23
Likely score2-1
Both to score59.8%
Our model gives AFC Ajax a 62.4% chance, with a 19.3% chance of a draw and 18.3% for Excelsior. Expected goals favour a 2.22–1.23 shape, with a most-likely scoreline of 2-1. Make your own call in the app and see how you stack up against the model and other predictors.