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World Cup 2026
Uruguay vs Spain
📊 Model insight
43.8% Uruguay25.8% Draw30.4% Spain
Expected goals1.23–1.6
Likely score1-1
Both to score48.8%
Our model gives Uruguay a 43.8% chance, with a 25.8% chance of a draw and 30.4% for Spain. Expected goals favour a 1.23–1.6 shape, with a most-likely scoreline of 1-1. Make your own call in the app and see how you stack up against the model and other predictors.