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World Cup 2026
Japan vs Sweden
📊 Model insight
32.1% Japan20.3% Draw47.6% Sweden
Expected goals1.1–1.73
Likely score1-1
Both to score47.6%
Our model gives Japan a 32.1% chance, with a 20.3% chance of a draw and 47.6% for Sweden. Expected goals favour a 1.1–1.73 shape, with a most-likely scoreline of 1-1. Make your own call in the app and see how you stack up against the model and other predictors.