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World Cup 2026
Ecuador vs Germany
📊 Model insight
34% Ecuador29.1% Draw36.9% Germany
Expected goals1.23–1.3
Likely score1-1
Both to score52.3%
Our model gives Ecuador a 34% chance, with a 29.1% chance of a draw and 36.9% for Germany. Expected goals favour a 1.23–1.3 shape, with a most-likely scoreline of 1-1. Make your own call in the app and see how you stack up against the model and other predictors.